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Bitcoin price on June 1?

"Bitcoin price on June 1?" — live political-market odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $240K Liquidity: $281K Closes: 1 Jun 2026
Trade on Election Predictions UK →
Bitcoin price on June 1?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Election Predictions UK Pick
polygram.ink
 0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Election Predictions UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Election Predictions UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Election Predictions UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Election Predictions UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Election Predictions UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.

Active sub-markets

<68,0000% YES100% NO
68,000-70,0001% YES99% NO
70,000-72,00014% YES86% NO
72,000-74,00078% YES23% NO
74,000-76,0007% YES94% NO
76,000-78,0001% YES99% NO

Market context

Bitcoin price on June 1? — current market-implied probability: 0%. This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market wil…

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Bitcoin price on June 1? plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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