Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Ethereum's price movement on 13 June 2026 remains entirely unpredictable at this distance, with the market assigning zero probability to any specific price level materialising on that date. The settlement window closes the following day, meaning traders are betting on a single day's closing price rather than a range or sustained level. This temporal specificity—pinpointing a single trading session nearly two years forward—explains the current probability distribution, as crypto markets are subject to volatility spikes from regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts, and technical developments that cannot be reliably forecast at such range.
Historical precedent suggests that single-day price targets for cryptocurrencies rarely attract confident trading when set beyond six months. Bitcoin and Ethereum have each experienced 20–40% daily swings during major regulatory announcements or market corrections, yet predicting which specific price level will be touched on a predetermined date has proven consistently difficult. Comparable markets on crypto exchanges show that traders typically cluster around round numbers (USD 2,000, 3,000, 5,000) when forced to choose, but the zero probability here reflects genuine uncertainty rather than consensus that the event is impossible.
Catalysts that could reshape this market include Ethereum's scheduled protocol upgrades, shifts in institutional adoption timelines, and broader cryptocurrency regulation from the SEC or UK Financial Conduct Authority. Ethereum's Shanghai and Dencun upgrades demonstrated how technical milestones can shift market sentiment substantially. Traders monitoring this market should track announcements from the Ethereum Foundation and major exchange listings, though predicting their timing and market impact two years ahead remains speculative.
Methodology
This page tracks What price will Ethereum hit on June 13? across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade What price will Ethereum hit on June 13? on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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