Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-6.5) vs 1WIN (+6.5) | 0% INOX Division | 100% 1WIN |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: INOX Division (-9.5) vs 1WIN (+9.5) | 0% INOX Division | 100% 1WIN |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 1WIN (-3.5) vs INOX Division (+3.5) | 100% 1WIN | 0% INOX Division |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
The Round of 16 clash between 1WIN and INOX Division in CCT Europe Series #4 is the live event behind this market, and the market has been priced at **0% YES**, leaving traders to treat it as a very low-confidence outcome rather than a settled favourite. Match listings place the best-of-three on 19 June at 14:00 UTC, with the tournament running as an online European CS2 event on Liquipedia and the fixture also shown on Dust2.us and Sofascore.[1][2][3][5]
In practical terms, a 0% reading is most useful when the market expects either an administrative issue or a mispriced fixture rather than a genuine statistical lock. Comparable BO3 playoff markets in smaller CCT brackets often swing sharply once line-ups are confirmed or if a team is forced into a stand-in, because the underlying edge is usually shallow outside the top tier. Bo3.gg’s pre-match score predictor slightly favoured 1WIN across the exact scorelines, while a separate betting feed showed users leaning the other way, which is consistent with a market that can move quickly on late information rather than long-run form alone.[1][4]
The key catalyst is whether the match is actually played on schedule and with the expected rosters, because that is what will determine whether the market resolves to a team or falls back to 50-50 under the listed rules. Traders should watch for official bracket updates, any delay in the start time, and confirmation from tournament or match trackers that the BO3 has begun and finished; the settlement window remains open until 19 June 2026 at 20:00 UTC, so a postponement without a completed result would matter directly for resolution.[1][2][3][5]
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Eu… on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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