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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

How the prediction markets are pricing "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 94% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5) 90% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $228K Liquidity: $247K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games94%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-9.5) vs 3DMAX (+9.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-12.5) vs 3DMAX (+12.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.550%
Match Winner41%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-9.5) vs Heroic (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Winner5%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: 3dmax vs heroic (bo3) - iem beijing: global qualifier playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between 3DMAX and Heroic in the IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. T…

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What resolution source is used for elections?
Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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Trade Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Beijing:… on Election Predictions UK

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