Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% BetBoom Team | 100% Vitality |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% BetBoom Team | 100% Vitality |
| Match Winner | 0% BetBoom Team | 100% Vitality |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | 100% Vitality | 0% BetBoom Team |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5) | 100% Vitality | 0% BetBoom Team |
Market context
BetBoom Team and Vitality are scheduled to face off in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 on 14 June at 10:30 AM ET. The match forms part of the tournament's round-four bracket, where both teams will be competing for advancement in one of the year's premier competitive Counter-Strike events. The 0% implied probability suggests the market has not yet attracted substantive trading activity or reflects extreme uncertainty about match completion.
Historical precedent from major Counter-Strike tournaments indicates that technical delays and scheduling adjustments occur regularly, particularly in multi-day events with international participation. IEM Cologne's stage structure has previously experienced fixture postponements due to technical issues or unforeseen circumstances, though outright cancellations remain uncommon. The seven-day resolution window provides considerable buffer for rescheduling, making the 50-50 tie-resolution clause a secondary consideration unless the tournament itself faces disruption.
Traders should monitor ESL's official IEM Cologne announcements for any pre-match roster confirmations, technical checks, or schedule revisions. Recent major tournaments have seen increased scrutiny of player availability and visa documentation, particularly for teams with international rosters. The market's current probability reflects minimal information flow; movement would likely follow confirmed team lineups, any official delay announcements from ESL, or broader tournament disruptions. Vitality's historical performance at Cologne events and BetBoom's recent form in regional qualifiers remain secondary factors until the match infrastructure is confirmed operational.
Methodology
This page tracks Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM… on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Election Predictions UK →