Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-3.5) vs KOLESIE (+3.5) | 0% Leo Team | 100% KOLESIE |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-12.5) vs Leo Team (+12.5) | 0% KOLESIE | 100% Leo Team |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs Leo Team (+3.5) | 100% KOLESIE | 0% Leo Team |
| Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) | 0% Leo Team | 100% KOLESIE |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-6.5) vs KOLESIE (+6.5) | 0% Leo Team | 100% KOLESIE |
Market context
KOLESIE and Leo Team are scheduled to compete in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match during the CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage on 10 June at 10:00 AM ET. The current market probability of 0% for KOLESIE suggests either substantial confidence in Leo Team's superiority or minimal trading activity establishing a baseline. CCT Europe Series competitions have historically featured volatile group-stage results, particularly in early rounds where team preparation levels and recent form diverge significantly. Comparable matches in prior CCT seasons show that lower-seeded or less-established rosters occasionally produce upsets, though the 0% reading indicates market participants are treating this as a heavily one-sided fixture.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the scheduled start time, as Counter-Strike lineups can shift unexpectedly. Recent performance data from both teams' qualifying matches and their head-to-head record in prior CCT tournaments will inform whether the current probability reflects genuine skill disparity or incomplete information pricing. The settlement window closes at 20:15 UTC on 10 June, allowing approximately ten hours after the scheduled start for match completion; any delay extending beyond seven days from the original date triggers a 50-50 resolution. Fixture cancellations or technical forfeitures would similarly resolve the market to an even split rather than favouring either competitor.
Methodology
This page tracks Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Euro… on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Election Predictions UK →