Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% KUUSAMO.gg | 100% Passion Academy |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% KUUSAMO.gg | 0% Passion Academy |
| Match Winner | 100% KUUSAMO.gg | 0% Passion Academy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: KSM (-1.5) vs Passion Academy (+1.5) | 0% KUUSAMO.gg | 100% Passion Academy |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
KUUSAMO.gg against Passion Academy is a Group D elimination match in United21, with the market effectively tracking whether KUUSAMO can convert a strong group position into a series win. Liquipedia’s Group D standings show KUUSAMO.gg at 2-0, which frames this as a matchup where KUUSAMO enters with the cleaner tournament record and a clearer path through the group[1].
The closest historical read is that early group form in online CS2 events often carries more weight than broad team reputation, because these matches are best-of-three and small map-level swings can decide the result. BetsAPI and Sofascore both list the same pairing for 22 June, while Sofascore places the scheduled start at 10:30 UTC, which makes the key trading risk not team strength alone but whether the fixture runs on time and as scheduled[2][3].
The main catalyst for the market is therefore the official match schedule and any tournament-side change to the bracket or start time, rather than a fresh polling-style signal. If the game is delayed, moved, or affected by earlier group results, that could matter more than late sentiment; for now, the available listings point to a straightforward scheduled BO3 rather than an uncertain fixture[2][3][4].
Methodology
This page tracks Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Passion Academy (BO3) … on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Election Predictions UK →