Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
48% | 52% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
48% | 52% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 48% TheMongolz | 53% BetBoom Team |
| Map 2 Winner | 56% TheMongolz | 44% BetBoom Team |
| Match Winner | 52% TheMongolz | 49% BetBoom Team |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% Over | 51% Under |
| Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | 30% TheMongolz | 71% BetBoom Team |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% Over | 50% Under |
Market context
TheMongolz, the Mongolian Counter-Strike roster, face BetBoom Team in a Round 1 best-of-three match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, scheduled for 11 June 2026 at 05:00 ET. The fixture represents a significant tournament placement for both squads within the competitive CS2 calendar, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the Major stage.
TheMongolz have demonstrated inconsistent performance across recent international LANs, with mixed results against tier-one opposition. BetBoom Team, primarily a CIS-region roster, has shown stronger consistency in regional play but faces variable results when competing against established international sides. Historical matchups between comparable-tier teams at Major events suggest the 48% implied probability for TheMongolz reflects genuine competitive uncertainty rather than a clear favourite emerging. Previous encounters between regional powerhouses and rising challengers at IEM events have frequently resolved within narrow margins, particularly in Round 1 fixtures where preparation levels and mental freshness carry substantial weight.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes in the days preceding 11 June, as player availability has historically affected outcomes at this tournament. Recent form updates from both teams' performances at qualifying events and online competitions will provide concrete data on current condition. The settlement window closes at 15:00 ET on 11 June, allowing minimal buffer for technical delays; any match postponement beyond seven days would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Fixture scheduling within the broader Major bracket may also influence preparation intensity, particularly if either team faces subsequent matches on the same day.
Methodology
This page tracks Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - I… on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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