Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Team Nemesis | 0% Infinite |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Team Nemesis | 0% Infinite |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Match Winner | 100% Team Nemesis | 0% Infinite |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5) | 100% Team Nemesis | 0% Infinite |
Market context
Team Nemesis and Infinite are scheduled to compete in Quarterfinal 4 of the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs on 16 June at 1:00PM ET, playing a best-of-three Counter-Strike match. The winner advances to the semi-final stage of the tournament. The market currently reflects 100% implied probability for match completion, suggesting traders expect the fixture to proceed as scheduled without cancellation, tie, or extended delay beyond the seven-day window.
Historical precedent from major Counter-Strike tournaments indicates that quarterfinal matches in established regional circuits rarely fail to complete. NODWIN's Clutch Series has maintained consistent scheduling across previous seasons, with cancellations or ties occurring in fewer than 3% of playoff fixtures. Team Nemesis and Infinite both qualified through earlier rounds, confirming roster availability and operational readiness. Neither team has reported recent roster instability or visa complications that would typically trigger postponement.
Traders should monitor NODWIN's official announcements for any last-minute scheduling adjustments or force majeure declarations in the 48 hours preceding the match. Technical infrastructure at the broadcast venue and player attendance confirmations represent secondary dependencies; the tournament operator typically confirms these by 72 hours before quarterfinal play. No recent news sources have flagged concerns regarding either team's participation status as of early June. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 16 June, providing a 22-hour buffer after the scheduled start time for match completion and result confirmation.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NOD… on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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