Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% RUSTEC | 0% HEROIC Academy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: HERO.A (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5) | 0% HEROIC Academy | 100% RUSTEC |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
RUSTEC and HEROIC Academy are scheduled to compete in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match during the CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage on 13 June at 7:00 AM ET. The match represents a Round 3 fixture within a competitive European regional circuit that determines advancement and seeding within the tournament structure. Settlement occurs at 17:00 UTC on the same day, providing a compressed window between match completion and market closure.
The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally high confidence in match completion or limited historical volatility in similar CCT Europe fixtures. Comparable regional Counter-Strike tournaments have demonstrated reliable scheduling adherence, though technical disruptions, player unavailability, or administrative delays occasionally force postponements beyond the seven-day threshold that would trigger 50-50 resolution. HEROIC Academy, as the academy roster of the established HEROIC organisation, typically maintains consistent participation in sanctioned events, reducing cancellation risk relative to smaller independent squads.
Traders should monitor official CCT Europe communications and team social media channels in the 48 hours preceding the fixture for any scheduling changes, roster complications, or technical infrastructure issues affecting the broadcast. Recent CCT Europe events have proceeded on schedule, though individual match delays within tournament days remain common without affecting overall settlement criteria. The compressed settlement window means any postponement beyond 7 days would automatically resolve the market at 50-50, making fixture confirmation by 6 June operationally significant for traders requiring clarity.
Methodology
This page tracks Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT… on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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