Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 87% YES | 14% NO |
| Match Winner | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 91% YES | 9% NO |
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
TYLOO, a Chinese Counter-Strike team, face Sharks in a best-of-three match during the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 group phase on 4 June 2026. The fixture represents a Round 4 encounter where both teams will be competing for advancement through the tournament's initial stage. The current crowd-implied probability of 29% for TYLOO victory suggests market participants view Sharks as favourites, though the outcome remains genuinely competitive at a professional level.
Historical matchup data and recent form sheets provide the primary interpretive frame for this probability. TYLOO have demonstrated inconsistent performance against tier-one opposition in recent majors, whilst Sharks have shown improved structural discipline and map pool depth over the past eighteen months. Teams from the Americas region, which Sharks represent, have historically performed well in IEM events held in Europe, benefiting from reduced latency and established scrim partnerships. Previous encounters between these rosters suggest a marginal advantage to Sharks in tactical execution, though TYLOO's individual skill ceiling remains formidable.
Traders should monitor roster stability announcements and practice scrim results in the week preceding 4 June, as last-minute player substitutions or injury disclosures could materially shift the match outcome. IEM's official schedule confirmations and any venue or format changes warrant close attention. The settlement window's 7-day grace period for delays provides some buffer against fixture postponements, though technical issues or unforeseen circumstances during the tournament could trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Recent HLTV match statistics and team performance at qualifier events will offer the most reliable indicators of current form heading into the scheduled fixture.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne … on Election Predictions UK
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