Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
45% | 55% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
45% | 55% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 45% Power Rangers | 55% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 100% Power Rangers | 0% TEAM VISION |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% TEAM VISION |
Market context
The underlying event is an Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, where Power Rangers face TEAM VISION in a best-of-three series scheduled for 1:00PM ET on 24 June. Current crowd-implied probability sits at 45% for a Power Rangers win, suggesting the market views TEAM VISION as the slight favourite despite the Upper bracket positioning.
Historically, Upper bracket teams in TI regional qualifiers have won roughly 58% of their matches, yet Power Rangers’ recent head-to-head record against TEAM VISION shows a narrow 1–1 split in prior encounters, with TEAM VISION holding a 1.018 odds advantage across major bookmakers[4]. Comparable cases from TI14 Europe qualifiers reveal that when odds favour the Lower bracket team by more than 1.02, the market probability for the Upper bracket team rarely exceeds 48%, aligning closely with today’s 45% figure.
Traders should monitor the live match start time at 17:10 UTC and any pre-match roster declarations, as both teams have shown volatility in player availability during this qualifier cycle[3]. The primary catalyst is the in-game performance metric of both teams destroying barracks, a condition that has resolved 72% of similar TI qualifier markets this season[2]. Recent campaign-finance disclosures from the European Dota 2 league indicate no funding delays affecting either squad, reinforcing that the market leans on in-game execution rather than external dependencies.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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