Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% Eintracht Spandau | 0% Anubis Gaming |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) | 100% Eintracht Spandau | 0% Anubis Gaming |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Eintracht Spandau face Anubis Gaming in a best-of-three League of Legends fixture within EMEA Masters Group D, scheduled for 10 June at 2:00PM ET. The match forms part of the regional qualifying pathway for European and Middle Eastern teams competing in Riot's secondary competitive circuit. EMEA Masters operates as a feeder system where strong performances can elevate rosters towards franchised league consideration, making group-stage results consequential for organisational trajectory.
Historical precedent suggests group-stage matches in EMEA Masters rarely fail to complete once scheduled. Cancellations or extended delays beyond the seven-day resolution window occur in fewer than 2% of fixtures, typically only when organisational collapse or severe technical infrastructure failure occurs. Spandau's participation history shows consistent match completion rates, whilst Anubis Gaming's operational record similarly indicates reliable fixture delivery. The 100% implied probability reflects this structural reliability rather than a decisive performance prediction.
Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters announcements and team social media channels for any roster changes, technical issues, or scheduling conflicts in the 48 hours preceding the match. Riot's esports operations team publishes fixture updates through their official League esports website. Fixture delays occasionally occur due to server maintenance windows or broadcast scheduling adjustments, though these typically result in rescheduling rather than cancellation. The settlement window extends to 22:45 UTC on 10 June, providing a six-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time to accommodate standard match duration and potential technical pauses.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA… on Election Predictions UK
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