Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Vivo Keyd Stars | 0% LOS |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Vivo Keyd Stars | 100% LOS |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% Vivo Keyd Stars | 50% LOS |
| Match Winner | 0% Vivo Keyd Stars | 100% LOS |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) | 0% LOS | 100% Vivo Keyd Stars |
Market context
Vivo Keyd Stars face LOS in the lower bracket final of the Esports World Cup South America and LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, a best-of-three League of Legends match scheduled for 13 June at 12:00 PM ET. The winner advances to the grand final and secures qualification for the international Esports World Cup tournament. This represents a high-stakes elimination match where both teams have already survived earlier playoff rounds and cannot afford defeat.
Vivo Keyd Stars enter as the stronger historical performer in South American League of Legends, having consistently placed amongst the region's top teams across multiple competitive seasons. LOS, whilst competitive, has typically occupied a secondary tier within the regional hierarchy. The current 100% implied probability reflects this established gap in team strength and recent form, though lower bracket finals routinely produce closer contests than regular-season matchups owing to increased preparation time and desperation factors.
The settlement window closes 7 June at 22:00 UTC, creating a tight deadline relative to the match's 13 June scheduling. Traders should monitor official LATAM esports league announcements for any fixture rescheduling, technical issues affecting broadcast integrity, or roster changes that might alter competitive balance. Recent regional tournament results and scrim performance reports circulating within esports communities could shift market sentiment if they reveal unexpected form shifts. The match's completion status matters critically—any unfinished series or extended delays beyond the seven-day threshold would trigger a 50-50 resolution regardless of partial results.
Methodology
This page tracks LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cu… on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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