Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
48% | 52% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
48% | 52% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 48% Leviatán Esports | 53% EDward Gaming |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 51% Leviatán Esports | 49% EDward Gaming |
| Map 1 Winner | 39% EDward Gaming | 62% Leviatán Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 37% EDward Gaming | 64% Leviatán Esports |
| Map 3 Winner | 37% EDward Gaming | 64% Leviatán Esports |
| Map 4 Winner | 42% EDward Gaming | 59% Leviatán Esports |
Market context
EDward Gaming’s lower-bracket final against Leviatán Esports is being priced as close to a coin flip, with the crowd sitting at 44% for EDG rather than a clear favourite. That fits a best-of-five in a Masters playoff setting, where the longer format usually narrows the gap between evenly matched sides and makes map pool depth, adaptation, and anti-stratting more important than raw momentum.
The recent frame of reference is that both teams have already shown they can survive high-pressure series in London, and EDG’s route through the bracket included a statement win over Paper Rex in a series that went to three maps.[2] Leviatán, meanwhile, have already logged a playoff win over Global Esports on the same stage, underscoring that they are not arriving as a paper underdog.[1][8] That sort of prior performance matters more here than any single map result, because the market is effectively asking which side is more likely to solve a long series rather than simply win a sprint.
The main catalyst is scheduling and bracket confirmation: the official VALORANT Esports schedule lists EDG v Leviatán in Masters Playoffs as a Bo5 on Sunday 21 June at 06:00 BST, while the market description still points to the lower-bracket final slot originally set for 20 June at 9:00 AM ET.[6] Traders should watch for any rescheduling, stream status, or bracket updates from Riot’s event pages, because a delay beyond seven days or a match not played at all would push the market to 50-50 under the rules.
Methodology
This page tracks Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - … on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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