Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% G2 Esports | 100% FUT Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 0% G2 Esports | 100% FUT Esports |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 0% G2 Esports | 100% FUT Esports |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
G2 Esports face FUT Esports in a lower bracket first-round match at VCT Masters London, a Valorant Champions Tour international playoff event scheduled for 14 June. The best-of-three fixture determines progression in the competition's elimination phase, with the winner advancing and the loser's tournament run concluding. G2 currently field a roster competing at the highest level of European and international Valorant, whilst FUT Esports represent a challenger team seeking to upset established competition.
The 0% implied probability reflects either extreme confidence in G2's superiority or minimal trading activity on this specific matchup. Historical precedent suggests lower bracket matches between established franchises and emerging organisations often favour the higher-seeded or more experienced team, though upsets occur regularly in esports given the volatile nature of team form, player performance on the day, and meta-dependent gameplay. Recent VCT events demonstrate that seeding and roster stability matter considerably, yet individual tournament runs frequently defy pre-event expectations.
Traders should monitor official VCT scheduling confirmations through Valorant's esports channels, any last-minute roster changes or player availability issues, and recent head-to-head results between these teams if available. Match delays beyond the seven-day window would trigger a 50-50 resolution, whilst cancellation without rescheduling carries identical consequences. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 14 June, providing limited time for post-match confirmation, so early resolution clarity depends on timely broadcast completion and official result announcement from tournament organisers.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Mast… on Election Predictions UK
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