Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Heretics |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Leviatán Esports | 100% Team Heretics |
| Match Winner | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Heretics |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) | 0% Leviatán Esports | 100% Team Heretics |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5) | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Heretics |
Market context
Leviatán Esports, the Argentine organisation, faces Team Heretics in a lower bracket elimination match at VCT Masters London on 14 June. The best-of-three contest determines whether Leviatán advances or exits the playoffs entirely. Team Heretics, based in Spain, qualified directly to this stage after their upper bracket performance, whilst Leviatán must win to remain in contention for the Masters title.
Leviatán's recent form provides context for the 100% crowd probability. The team has demonstrated consistency within the LATAM region and secured qualification to Masters London through their regional performance, suggesting baseline competitive capability. However, Team Heretics operates within the more established European competitive ecosystem, where roster stability and scrim availability typically favour established organisations. Historical matchups between LATAM and EMEA representatives at international events show variable outcomes, though European teams have secured marginal advantages in recent VCT seasons when facing Latin American opposition in high-stakes formats.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 14 June fixture. Valorant's meta shifts rapidly between regional competitions, and any patch updates released between now and the match could favour one region's preparation style over another. The settlement window closes at 20:00 ET on match day, allowing only the scheduled window for play. Cancellation or delays exceeding seven days would trigger a 50-50 resolution, though VCT's established scheduling protocols make such outcomes unlikely.
Methodology
This page tracks Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - … on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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