Austria vs. Jordan - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Austria and Jordan will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 17 June, with the market pricing an exact final score at 7% implied probability. This reflects the difficulty of predicting precise scorelines in international football; exact-score markets typically see winning outcomes settle between 5% and 15% across comparable fixtures, as even favoured teams produce varied results depending on tactical setup, injury status, and in-match momentum.

Austria qualified for the 2026 tournament as runners-up in their European qualifying group, whilst Jordan secured their spot through the AFC pathway. Historical precedent suggests Austria enters as the stronger side—they ranked 10th in FIFA standings as of late 2024, whilst Jordan sat outside the top 50. However, group-stage matches frequently produce narrow margins; Austria's recent competitive record shows they score 1–2 goals per match with regularity, making outcomes like 1–0, 2–0, or 2–1 more probable than higher-scoring affairs. Jordan's defensive record and limited offensive output in qualifying suggests they are unlikely to generate the attacking volume needed for high-scoring results.

Traders should monitor team news releases and official squad announcements in the weeks preceding the match, as injuries to key players—particularly Austria's attacking options—could shift expected goal distributions. The settlement window closes at 04:00 UTC on 17 June, allowing only the final regulation-time result to count. No extra time or penalties factor into resolution, which eliminates uncertainty from knockout-stage dynamics and focuses the market purely on 90-minute outcomes.

Methodology

This page tracks Austria vs. Jordan - Exact Score across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?

Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.