Colombia vs. Costa Rica

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

A FIFA International Friendly between Colombia and Costa Rica is scheduled for Monday, 1 June 2026. The match forms part of the pre-tournament preparation cycle ahead of the 2026 World Cup, hosted jointly by the United States, Mexico, and Canada. Both nations qualified for the tournament and will use June friendlies to test squad depth, tactical formations, and player fitness before the competition begins in mid-June.

Historical precedent suggests that scheduled friendlies between established CONMEBOL and CONCACAF sides rarely fail to occur. Colombia and Costa Rica have played each other regularly in World Cup qualifiers and continental tournaments since the 1990s, with no cancellations in recent cycles. The 100% crowd probability reflects the straightforward nature of the fixture: both federations have confirmed participation, neither nation faces suspension or diplomatic barriers, and the match sits within FIFA's official international window. Friendly matches in this context carry minimal fixture risk compared to competitive qualifiers.

The settlement window closes on 1 June at 23:00 UTC, allowing for the match to be played and result confirmed within the same calendar day. Traders should monitor official announcements from the Colombian Football Federation (FCF) and Costa Rican Football Association (FCRF) for any squad withdrawals or logistical changes in the weeks preceding the fixture. Injury crises affecting key players or last-minute venue changes remain the only realistic catalysts for cancellation, though neither has materialised in comparable pre-World Cup friendlies in recent tournament cycles.

Methodology

This page tracks Colombia vs. Costa Rica across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.