Morocco vs. Haiti - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the FIFA World Cup Group C match between Morocco and Haiti, scheduled for 6:00 PM ET on 24 June 2026 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. This fixture determines whether Morocco secures a specific exact score outcome, with the market currently implying a 5% chance for the listed result, while any other score resolves the bet to "Any Other Score" [1][4].

Historically, exact-score markets in World Cup group stages rarely exceed 5–8% probability unless one side is a dominant favourite against a significantly weaker opponent. Morocco’s only prior World Cup clash with a CONCACAF nation ended 2–1, while Haiti’s sole encounter was a 1–0 loss to Tunisia, suggesting tight margins rather than high-scoring blowouts [3]. Given Morocco’s recent 1–0 win over Scotland and 1–1 draw with Brazil, the 5% implied probability aligns with comparable cases where defensive discipline limits goal variance [1][6].

Traders should monitor pre-match line-up announcements and any late campaign-finance disclosures from national federations, which could signal squad availability shifts. The market leans on the catalyst of Morocco’s confirmed progression to the Round of 32, reducing pressure for an aggressive exact-score pursuit [6]. Recent form data shows Morocco averaging 2.4 points per match with minimal opponent scoring, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring, non-listed outcome [5]. No major scheduled debates or declarations are pending, but final team news released within 24 hours of kick-off will be the primary price driver [2][8].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Morocco vs. Haiti - Exact Score plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.