Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0% Grigor Dimitrov | 100% Alejandro Davidovich Fokina |
| Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner | 0% Dimitrov | 100% Fokina |
| Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% Over 2.5 | 100% Under 2.5 |
Market context
Market consensus: 0% chance of mallorca championships: grigor dimitrov vs alejandro davidovich fokina. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Grigor Dimitrov and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. …
Methodology
This page tracks Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro… on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Election Predictions UK →