Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
14% | 86% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
14% | 86% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Coritiba FBC (-1.5) | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| EC Bahia (-1.5) | 31% YES | 70% NO |
| Coritiba FBC (-2.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| EC Bahia (-2.5) | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 64% YES | 36% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 41% YES | 60% NO |
Market context
Coritiba FBC will face EC Bahia in a Série A fixture on 25 May at 7:00 PM ET. The market settlement hinges on whether additional betting or match-outcome markets will be offered for this specific game, with the crowd currently pricing the probability of such expansion at 17%.
Historical precedent suggests that fixture-specific market proliferation in Brazilian top-flight football depends heavily on liquidity thresholds and broadcaster coverage. Matches involving clubs with larger supporter bases or those scheduled during peak trading windows typically attract expanded market offerings. Coritiba and Bahia, whilst established Série A sides, do not consistently command the same derivative-market depth as São Paulo, Flamengo, or Corinthians fixtures. Previous May-scheduled encounters between mid-tier clubs have seen limited secondary-market creation, with only core match-outcome and goal-total markets materialising in roughly 30% of cases.
Traders should monitor whether the fixture receives prominent scheduling on ESPN Brasil or Globo Esporte in the days preceding 25 May, as media prominence directly correlates with market expansion decisions by prediction platforms. Additionally, any late-season playoff implications—should either club remain in contention for European qualification or relegation avoidance—would substantially increase the likelihood of supplementary markets. Current odds reflect scepticism that such conditions will obtain. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 25 May, leaving minimal time for post-match market creation.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $137K.
Methodology
This page tracks Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia - More Markets across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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