Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
81% | 19% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
81% | 19% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 81% |
| O/U 37.5 | 79% |
| O/U 39.5 | 75% |
| O/U 41.5 | 68% |
| O/U 43.5 | 65% |
| Appalachian State O/U 20.5 | 65% |
| O/U 45.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 59% |
| O/U 47.5 | 55% |
| Appalachian State O/U 23.5 | 55% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 23.5 | 53% |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 11.5 | 52% |
| 1H Moneyline | 52% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Appalachian State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Coastal Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Appalachian State 2H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| O/U 49.5 | 47% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Appalachian State 1H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Coastal Carolina 1H O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Appalachian State O/U 26.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| O/U 51.5 | 42% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 42% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 26.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| Appalachian State O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 40% |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 38% |
| Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| O/U 53.5 | 37% |
| Coastal Carolina 1H O/U 16.5 | 37% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| O/U 55.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| O/U 57.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 28% |
| Spread -8.5 | 27% |
| Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 35.5 | 26% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 29.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| O/U 59.5 | 24% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 32.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 22% |
| O/U 61.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| O/U 63.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| O/U 65.5 | 15% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| O/U 67.5 | 11% |
| O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| O/U 71.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| O/U 73.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| O/U 75.5 | 6% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, appalachian state vs. coastal carolina stands at 81% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Appalachian State and Coastal Carolina, scheduled for October 16 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Appalachian State" if Appa…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $152K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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