Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 98% |
| O/U 37.5 | 94% |
| O/U 39.5 | 94% |
| O/U 41.5 | 94% |
| O/U 43.5 | 90% |
| O/U 45.5 | 89% |
| O/U 47.5 | 85% |
| Georgia O/U 23.5 | 85% |
| Spread -0.5 | 81% |
| O/U 49.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 76% |
| Auburn O/U 20.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| O/U 51.5 | 72% |
| O/U 53.5 | 68% |
| Auburn O/U 23.5 | 67% |
| Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| Spread -0.5 | 59% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 58% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 56% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 1H Moneyline | 56% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 54% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 11.5 | 53% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 15.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| Georgia O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Georgia Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| Spread -37.5 | 50% |
| Spread -40.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Georgia O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| Georgia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| O/U 57.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| O/U 59.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 42% |
| O/U 61.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| O/U 63.5 | 38% |
| Spread -8.5 | 36% |
| O/U 67.5 | 33% |
| Spread -9.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| Auburn vs. Georgia | 30% |
| O/U 69.5 | 30% |
| Spread -10.5 | 29% |
| Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| Spread -1.5 | 27% |
| O/U 73.5 | 27% |
| O/U 65.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Spread -11.5 | 25% |
| Georgia 1H O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Spread -13.5 | 23% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 23% |
| Spread -12.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 21% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Spread -3.5 | 16% |
| Spread -15.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| O/U 71.5 | 13% |
| Spread -18.5 | 12% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 11% |
| O/U 75.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Spread -23.5 | 7% |
| Spread -24.5 | 7% |
| Spread -25.5 | 6% |
| Spread -33.5 | 4% |
| Spread -27.5 | 3% |
| Spread -30.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to auburn vs. georgia. In the upcoming college football game between Auburn and Georgia, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Auburn" if Auburn win the game. This market will resolve to "Georg…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $405K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Auburn vs. Georgia plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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