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Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL)

How the prediction markets are pricing "Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL)" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

Spread -21.5 100% Spread -24.5 100% Spread -25.5 100% Spread -27.5 100% Volume: $121K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -21.5100%
Spread -24.5100%
Spread -25.5100%
Spread -27.5100%
Spread -28.5100%
Spread -31.5100%
Spread -33.5100%
Spread -34.5100%
Spread -35.5100%
Spread -36.5100%
Spread -37.5100%
Spread -38.5100%
Spread -39.5100%
Spread -40.5100%
Spread -41.5100%
Spread -42.5100%
Spread -43.5100%
Spread -44.5100%
Spread -45.5100%
Spread -46.5100%
Spread -47.5100%
Spread -48.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
O/U 53.5100%
1H Spread -20.5100%
1H Spread -22.5100%
1H Spread -23.5100%
1H Spread -24.5100%
1H Spread -25.5100%
1H Spread -27.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1H O/U 33.5100%
1H O/U 36.5100%
2H Spread -16.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q Spread -10.5100%
2Q Spread -12.5100%
2Q Spread -13.5100%
2Q Spread -14.5100%
2Q Spread -15.5100%
2Q Spread -17.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
2Q O/U 22.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
4Q Spread -4.5100%
4Q Spread -6.5100%
4Q Spread -7.5100%
4Q Spread -8.5100%
4Q Spread -9.5100%
4Q O/U 4.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
Central Michigan O/U 1.5100%
Miami (FL) O/U 41.5100%
Miami (FL) O/U 44.5100%
Miami (FL) O/U 47.5100%
Miami (FL) O/U 50.5100%
Central Michigan 1H O/U 0.5100%
Central Michigan 1H O/U 2.5100%
Miami (FL) 1H O/U 24.5100%
Miami (FL) 1H O/U 26.5100%
Miami (FL) 1H O/U 28.5100%
Miami (FL) O/U 6.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5100%
Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5100%
Central Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Central Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Central Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Central Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 24.5100%
Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 19.5100%
Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 21.5100%
Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 23.5100%
Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL): Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL)0%
Spread -49.50%
Spread -50.50%
Spread -52.50%
Spread -55.50%
Spread -56.50%
Spread -58.50%
Spread -59.50%
Spread -62.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
2H Spread -18.50%
2H Spread -19.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -23.50%
2H O/U 20.50%
2H O/U 23.50%
2H O/U 26.50%
2H O/U 29.50%
2H O/U 32.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -8.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -11.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -8.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -11.50%
3Q O/U 9.50%
3Q O/U 12.50%
3Q O/U 15.50%
3Q O/U 18.50%
4Q Spread -11.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
Central Michigan O/U 4.50%
Central Michigan O/U 7.50%
Central Michigan O/U 10.50%
Central Michigan O/U 13.50%
Miami (FL) O/U 53.50%
Central Michigan 1H O/U 4.50%
Central Michigan 2H O/U 0.50%
Central Michigan 2H O/U 2.50%
Central Michigan 2H O/U 4.50%
Miami (FL) 2H O/U 21.50%
Miami (FL) 2H O/U 23.50%
Miami (FL) 2H O/U 25.50%
2H Moneyline0%
Central Michigan O/U 0.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q20%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q40%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q20%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown0%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q40%
Pick-Six Scored0%
Central Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 7.50%
Central Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Central Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.50%
Central Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.50%
Central Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
Central Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
Central Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.50%
Central Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Central Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
Central Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
Central Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
Central Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
Central Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Central Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Central Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Central Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Central Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.50%
Central Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
Central Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL): Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of central michigan vs. miami (fl). Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Central Michigan and Miami (FL), scheduled for September 26 at 6:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Central Michigan" if Central Mi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -21.5 at 100% for "Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL)".

Spread -21.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $121K.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Central Michigan vs. Miami (FL) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are political prediction markets?
Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
What resolution source is used for elections?
Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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