What resolution source is used for elections?

Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.

Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?

Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.

How fast do political markets react to news?

High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.

Are political prediction markets legal in my country?

It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.

Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?

Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.

Colorado vs. Baylor UK Prediction Odds | Election Predictions 2026

Name: Colorado vs. Baylor
Start: 2026-09-21T18:41:30.000Z
End: 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	100%	0%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	100%	0%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Trade this market →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Trade this market →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
1H Spread -2.5	100%
1H Spread -4.5	100%
1H Spread -5.5	100%
1H Spread -6.5	100%
1Q Spread -1.5	100%
2Q O/U 9.5	100%
1Q Moneyline	100%
2Q Spread -0.5	90%
2Q Spread -2.5	90%
2Q Spread -3.5	90%
2Q Spread -4.5	90%
2Q Spread -5.5	90%
2Q Spread -7.5	90%
Spread -1.5	83%
Spread -2.5	81%
4Q O/U 7.5	77%
Spread -3.5	72%
Spread -4.5	69%
Spread -5.5	68%
Spread -6.5	65%
3Q O/U 12.5	64%
4Q O/U 10.5	63%
4Q O/U 16.5	63%
4Q O/U 19.5	59%
Spread -7.5	53%
O/U 35.5	53%
O/U 37.5	53%
O/U 39.5	51%
Baylor O/U 33.5	51%
Spread -0.5	50%
Spread -9.5	50%
Spread -26.5	50%
Spread -30.5	50%
O/U 69.5	50%
O/U 73.5	50%
O/U 75.5	50%
2H Spread -2.5	50%
2H Spread -4.5	50%
2H Spread -5.5	50%
2H Spread -6.5	50%
2H Spread -7.5	50%
2H Spread -9.5	50%
2H O/U 21.5	50%
2H O/U 24.5	50%
2H O/U 27.5	50%
2H O/U 30.5	50%
2H O/U 33.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -0.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -5.5	50%
3Q O/U 6.5	50%
3Q O/U 9.5	50%
3Q O/U 15.5	50%
3Q O/U 18.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -0.5	50%
4Q Spread -5.5	50%
4Q O/U 13.5	50%
Colorado O/U 22.5	50%
Colorado O/U 25.5	50%
Colorado O/U 28.5	50%
Baylor O/U 36.5	50%
Baylor O/U 39.5	50%
Colorado 2H O/U 9.5	50%
Colorado 2H O/U 11.5	50%
Colorado 2H O/U 13.5	50%
Baylor 2H O/U 14.5	50%
Baylor 2H O/U 16.5	50%
Baylor 2H O/U 18.5	50%
2H Moneyline	50%
Colorado O/U 2.5	50%
Baylor O/U 4.5	50%
4Q Moneyline	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4	50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown	50%
Game Goes to Overtime	50%
Pick-Six Scored	50%
Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5	50%
Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5	50%
Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5	50%
Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Colorado 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Colorado 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Colorado vs. Baylor: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5	50%
Baylor O/U 3.5	50%
Spread -8.5	46%
4Q Spread -2.5	46%
3Q Spread -2.5	45%
4Q Spread -1.5	45%
Spread -10.5	43%
Colorado O/U 16.5	42%
Spread -11.5	41%
Spread -15.5	41%
O/U 43.5	41%
3Q Spread -3.5	41%
3Q Moneyline	40%
O/U 45.5	39%
4Q Spread -3.5	39%
Spread -13.5	38%
Spread -18.5	37%
O/U 49.5	37%
O/U 57.5	36%
O/U 61.5	35%
O/U 63.5	35%
Baylor O/U 27.5	34%
Baylor O/U 30.5	31%
O/U 67.5	30%
Spread -12.5	28%
Spread -14.5	28%
O/U 41.5	28%
Spread -16.5	26%
Colorado O/U 19.5	26%
Spread -17.5	22%
Spread -20.5	17%
Colorado vs. Baylor	16%
O/U 47.5	15%
Spread -3.5	10%
Spread -23.5	10%
1H Spread -7.5	10%
1H O/U 21.5	10%
1H O/U 24.5	10%
1H O/U 27.5	10%
1H O/U 30.5	10%
1H O/U 33.5	10%
2Q O/U 12.5	10%
2Q O/U 15.5	10%
2Q O/U 18.5	10%
2Q O/U 21.5	10%
Colorado 1H O/U 8.5	10%
Colorado 1H O/U 10.5	10%
Colorado 1H O/U 12.5	10%
Baylor 1H O/U 15.5	10%
Baylor 1H O/U 17.5	10%
Baylor 1H O/U 19.5	10%
1H Moneyline	10%
2Q Moneyline	10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2	10%
Spread -4.5	9%
O/U 51.5	9%
Spread -24.5	8%
O/U 53.5	8%
Spread -6.5	7%
Spread -27.5	6%
O/U 55.5	6%
Spread -7.5	4%
Spread -10.5	3%
O/U 65.5	3%
O/U 59.5	2%
O/U 71.5	2%
1H Spread -9.5	0%
1Q Spread -0.5	0%
1Q Spread -1.5	0%
1Q Spread -2.5	0%
1Q Spread -3.5	0%
1Q Spread -5.5	0%
1Q O/U 7.5	0%
1Q O/U 10.5	0%
1Q O/U 13.5	0%
1Q O/U 16.5	0%
1Q O/U 19.5	0%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1	0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to colorado vs. baylor. In the upcoming college football game between Colorado and Baylor, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado" if Colorado win the game. This market will resolve t…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1H Spread -2.5 at 100% for "Colorado vs. Baylor".

1H Spread -2.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $325K.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Colorado vs. Baylor plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

What resolution source is used for elections?: Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?: Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
How fast do political markets react to news?: High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
Are political prediction markets legal in my country?: It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?: Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.

David ParkSports Data Analystand

Oliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

Trade Colorado vs. Baylor on Election Predictions UK

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Colorado vs. Baylor

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Trade Colorado vs. Baylor on Election Predictions UK

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