Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Army O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Army O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Army O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Army O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Army 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 98% |
| Spread -2.5 | 98% |
| Spread -0.5 | 97% |
| Spread -3.5 | 97% |
| Spread -4.5 | 96% |
| O/U 57.5 | 96% |
| O/U 59.5 | 96% |
| O/U 65.5 | 96% |
| Spread -5.5 | 95% |
| Spread -6.5 | 95% |
| Spread -7.5 | 93% |
| Spread -8.5 | 92% |
| Spread -10.5 | 91% |
| Spread -13.5 | 85% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 20.5 | 85% |
| O/U 71.5 | 80% |
| Spread -14.5 | 77% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 23.5 | 77% |
| Spread -16.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 75% |
| Spread -17.5 | 74% |
| O/U 63.5 | 70% |
| Spread -20.5 | 60% |
| O/U 49.5 | 53% |
| O/U 51.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| Army O/U 35.5 | 53% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Army 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Army 1H O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Army 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Army 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Army 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Army 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Army 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Army Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Army Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Army Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Florida Atlantic O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Army O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| Florida Atlantic 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| Spread -6.5 | 4% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| Spread -5.5 | 2% |
| Spread -4.5 | 2% |
| Spread -3.5 | 2% |
| Spread -2.5 | 2% |
| Spread -1.5 | 2% |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Army | 1% |
| Spread -16.5 | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| Florida Atlantic 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Florida Atlantic vs. Army. In the upcoming college football game between Florida Atlantic and Army, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida Atlantic" if Florida Atlantic win the game. This m…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $589K.
Methodology
This page tracks Florida Atlantic vs. Army across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Election Predictions UK provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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Trade Florida Atlantic vs. Army on Election Predictions UK
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