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Iowa vs. Northwestern

How the prediction markets are pricing "Iowa vs. Northwestern" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

Iowa vs. Northwestern 100% Spread -13.5 100% Spread -10.5 100% Spread -8.5 100% Volume: $1.5M Liquidity: $21K Closes: 8 Nov 2026
Open live market →
Iowa vs. Northwestern

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Iowa vs. Northwestern100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
Iowa O/U 20.5100%
Iowa O/U 23.5100%
Iowa 1H O/U 11.5100%
Iowa 1H O/U 13.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3100%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown100%
Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5100%
Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5100%
Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Northwestern 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 19.5100%
Iowa vs. Northwestern: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5100%
Iowa vs. Northwestern: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -0.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -3.5100%
4Q Spread -5.5100%
Iowa O/U 2.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
2Q Moneyline100%
3Q Moneyline100%
2H Moneyline50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 35.50%
O/U 37.50%
O/U 39.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
2H O/U 21.50%
2H O/U 24.50%
2H O/U 27.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
2H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
Iowa O/U 26.50%
Iowa O/U 29.50%
Iowa O/U 32.50%
Northwestern O/U 23.50%
Northwestern O/U 26.50%
Northwestern O/U 29.50%
Northwestern O/U 32.50%
Northwestern O/U 35.50%
Iowa 1H O/U 15.50%
Northwestern 1H O/U 12.50%
Northwestern 1H O/U 14.50%
Northwestern 1H O/U 16.50%
Iowa 2H O/U 11.50%
Iowa 2H O/U 13.50%
Iowa 2H O/U 15.50%
Northwestern 2H O/U 12.50%
Northwestern 2H O/U 14.50%
Northwestern 2H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q20%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H0%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q40%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q20%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q40%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
Pick-Six Scored0%
Iowa vs. Northwestern: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.50%
Iowa vs. Northwestern: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.50%
Iowa vs. Northwestern: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.50%
Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Iowa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.50%
Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
Iowa Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.50%
Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
Iowa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.50%
Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
Iowa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
Iowa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Northwestern 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Iowa Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
Iowa Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 19.50%
Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
Iowa Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 19.50%
Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Iowa vs. Northwestern: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -0.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
Northwestern O/U 2.50%
4Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of iowa vs. northwestern. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Iowa and Northwestern, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game. This market wil…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Iowa vs. Northwestern at 100% for "Iowa vs. Northwestern".

Iowa vs. Northwestern 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.5M.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Iowa vs. Northwestern plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are political prediction markets?
Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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