Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 85% |
| O/U 37.5 | 85% |
| Spread -0.5 | 78% |
| O/U 39.5 | 76% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 76% |
| Liberty O/U 20.5 | 72% |
| O/U 43.5 | 68% |
| Liberty O/U 23.5 | 68% |
| O/U 41.5 | 67% |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina | 65% |
| Spread -0.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| O/U 45.5 | 59% |
| O/U 47.5 | 55% |
| Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Jaylon Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Peyton Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kam Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Deshawn Purdie: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dominic Knicely: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Deuce Bailey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jevon Edwards: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaden Allen-Hendrix: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Colton Hinton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Clayton Coppock: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Makai Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tristian Gardner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Darius Copeland: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Terron Kellman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamari Person: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Robby Washington: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bryce Randolph: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Karmello English: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Breyahn Townsend: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kelsey Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zeke Wimbush: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Goldie Lawrence: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cyrus Ellison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Liberty O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Liberty 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Liberty Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Coastal Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Coastal Carolina O/U 23.5 | 46% |
| Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| O/U 51.5 | 43% |
| Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| Liberty O/U 32.5 | 40% |
| O/U 53.5 | 39% |
| Liberty O/U 29.5 | 39% |
| Liberty O/U 26.5 | 38% |
| Spread -8.5 | 36% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| O/U 55.5 | 33% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 32% |
| O/U 57.5 | 30% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| O/U 59.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| O/U 61.5 | 25% |
| Spread -14.5 | 24% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| Spread -16.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| O/U 63.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 18% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| O/U 65.5 | 16% |
| O/U 67.5 | 15% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| O/U 71.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| O/U 73.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| O/U 75.5 | 5% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 85% chance of liberty vs. coastal carolina. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Liberty and Coastal Carolina, scheduled for September 24 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Liberty" if Liberty win the game. …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $579K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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