Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 1H Moneyline | 91% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 91% |
| O/U 31.5 | 81% |
| Louisiana vs. Charlotte | 80% |
| Spread -1.5 | 80% |
| Spread -2.5 | 77% |
| O/U 29.5 | 75% |
| Charlotte O/U 13.5 | 72% |
| O/U 33.5 | 71% |
| O/U 39.5 | 70% |
| O/U 35.5 | 69% |
| Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| Spread -4.5 | 64% |
| O/U 41.5 | 64% |
| Charlotte O/U 16.5 | 63% |
| O/U 37.5 | 61% |
| Spread -5.5 | 60% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| Spread -6.5 | 55% |
| Charlotte O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Louisiana O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Louisiana vs. Charlotte: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana vs. Charlotte: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana vs. Charlotte: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana vs. Charlotte: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana vs. Charlotte: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisiana vs. Charlotte: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| Louisiana O/U 27.5 | 48% |
| Louisiana O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Spread -9.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 42% |
| Spread -12.5 | 41% |
| O/U 43.5 | 40% |
| O/U 45.5 | 40% |
| Spread -11.5 | 38% |
| Spread -10.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| O/U 47.5 | 36% |
| Spread -15.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| Louisiana O/U 30.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Spread -18.5 | 32% |
| O/U 57.5 | 31% |
| O/U 59.5 | 31% |
| O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| O/U 65.5 | 30% |
| O/U 69.5 | 30% |
| Spread -13.5 | 29% |
| Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| O/U 49.5 | 21% |
| O/U 51.5 | 17% |
| Charlotte O/U 22.5 | 17% |
| Spread -17.5 | 16% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| Spread -3.5 | 13% |
| Louisiana O/U 33.5 | 13% |
| O/U 53.5 | 12% |
| Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| O/U 55.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Charlotte O/U 25.5 | 10% |
| Louisiana 1H O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Louisiana 1H O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| Louisiana 1H O/U 18.5 | 10% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -6.5 | 7% |
| Spread -23.5 | 6% |
| Louisiana O/U 36.5 | 6% |
| Spread -24.5 | 5% |
| Spread -27.5 | 4% |
| Spread -30.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| O/U 61.5 | 3% |
| O/U 67.5 | 3% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Louisiana vs. Charlotte. In the upcoming college football game between Louisiana and Charlotte, scheduled for September 26 at 6:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Louisiana" if Louisiana win the game. This market will reso…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $387K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Louisiana vs. Charlotte plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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