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Missouri vs. Ole Miss

How the prediction markets are pricing "Missouri vs. Ole Miss" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

1Q O/U 7.5 100% Ole Miss 1H O/U 12.5 100% Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 100% 1Q Spread -0.5 100% Volume: $187K Liquidity: $513K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Missouri vs. Ole Miss

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q O/U 7.5100%
Ole Miss 1H O/U 12.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
Spread -0.595%
Ole Miss O/U 23.595%
Spread -1.594%
Spread -2.591%
2Q O/U 13.591%
O/U 37.588%
O/U 39.588%
Spread -3.587%
Spread -4.587%
O/U 35.587%
Spread -5.585%
2Q O/U 10.585%
Spread -6.583%
O/U 41.582%
Spread -7.579%
4Q O/U 7.578%
Spread -8.575%
O/U 43.573%
O/U 45.573%
Spread -10.572%
3Q O/U 7.570%
Spread -13.565%
O/U 47.565%
4Q O/U 10.565%
Ole Miss O/U 32.563%
Spread -14.560%
2Q O/U 7.557%
O/U 49.556%
3Q O/U 10.556%
Spread -16.555%
Ole Miss 1H O/U 16.555%
O/U 51.554%
1H Spread -4.554%
1H O/U 21.553%
4Q O/U 13.553%
Ole Miss 1H O/U 14.553%
1H Spread -0.553%
1H Spread -3.553%
1H Spread -5.553%
1H Spread -7.553%
2Q Spread -1.553%
2Q Spread -2.553%
2Q Spread -5.553%
Spread -17.551%
2H O/U 27.551%
Missouri 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.551%
Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 24.551%
Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 21.551%
1H Spread -2.551%
2Q Spread -3.551%
Ole Miss O/U 4.551%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -17.550%
Spread -16.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
1H O/U 33.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
Missouri O/U 26.550%
Missouri O/U 29.550%
Missouri O/U 32.550%
Ole Miss O/U 26.550%
Ole Miss O/U 29.550%
Ole Miss O/U 35.550%
Missouri 1H O/U 13.550%
Missouri 1H O/U 15.550%
Missouri 2H O/U 11.550%
Missouri 2H O/U 13.550%
Missouri 2H O/U 15.550%
Ole Miss 2H O/U 12.550%
Ole Miss 2H O/U 14.550%
Ole Miss 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Missouri Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Ole Miss Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Missouri Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Missouri Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Ole Miss Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Missouri 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Ole Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Ole Miss 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Missouri Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Ole Miss Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Missouri Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Ole Miss Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Missouri Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Ole Miss Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Missouri vs. Ole Miss: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Missouri O/U 3.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Ole Miss O/U 3.550%
Ole Miss Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.549%
Missouri Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.549%
Ole Miss Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.549%
1H O/U 24.548%
2Q O/U 16.548%
2Q O/U 19.548%
Missouri 1H O/U 11.548%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q248%
2Q Spread -1.548%
1H Moneyline48%
2Q Moneyline48%
1H O/U 30.547%
4Q Spread -1.544%
4Q Spread -2.543%
O/U 53.542%
3Q Spread -2.542%
4Q O/U 16.541%
Spread -20.540%
O/U 55.537%
3Q Spread -3.535%
Missouri O/U 20.534%
4Q Spread -3.533%
4Q O/U 19.531%
O/U 57.530%
3Q O/U 16.529%
Missouri O/U 23.525%
O/U 59.524%
3Q O/U 19.521%
O/U 61.520%
O/U 63.517%
1H O/U 27.515%
O/U 65.513%
O/U 67.510%
O/U 69.510%
Missouri vs. Ole Miss7%
O/U 75.56%
Spread -2.55%
Spread -1.55%
O/U 71.55%
O/U 73.55%
Spread -6.53%
Spread -5.53%
Spread -4.53%
Spread -3.53%
Spread -14.52%
Spread -13.52%
Spread -10.52%
Spread -7.52%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Missouri vs. Ole Miss — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Missouri and Ole Miss, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game. This market will resolve to…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q O/U 7.5 at 100% for "Missouri vs. Ole Miss".

1Q O/U 7.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $187K.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Missouri vs. Ole Miss plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are political prediction markets?
Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
What resolution source is used for elections?
Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
How fast do political markets react to news?
High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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