Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 97% |
| O/U 41.5 | 91% |
| O/U 39.5 | 90% |
| O/U 43.5 | 87% |
| O/U 45.5 | 84% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 20.5 | 83% |
| Boston College O/U 23.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 76% |
| O/U 47.5 | 74% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 68% |
| O/U 49.5 | 64% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 64% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 23.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| O/U 51.5 | 54% |
| O/U 65.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boston College 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Boston College Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Boston College O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 49% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| O/U 53.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 46% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Boston College | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| O/U 55.5 | 40% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 1H Moneyline | 24% |
| O/U 61.5 | 20% |
| Spread -4.5 | 19% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Spread -5.5 | 17% |
| Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| O/U 67.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Boston College 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pittsburgh vs. boston college stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Pittsburgh and Boston College, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $405K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Pittsburgh vs. Boston College plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
- Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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