Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 94% |
| O/U 37.5 | 89% |
| O/U 39.5 | 89% |
| O/U 41.5 | 82% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 82% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 82% |
| O/U 43.5 | 79% |
| O/U 45.5 | 78% |
| Maryland O/U 23.5 | 76% |
| O/U 47.5 | 71% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 70% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 70% |
| Rutgers O/U 20.5 | 68% |
| Spread -0.5 | 66% |
| Spread -1.5 | 65% |
| O/U 51.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| O/U 49.5 | 64% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| Spread -2.5 | 63% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 59% |
| O/U 53.5 | 57% |
| Rutgers O/U 23.5 | 57% |
| Maryland 2H O/U 12.5 | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| Spread -5.5 | 53% |
| Rutgers 2H O/U 11.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Maryland 1H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Maryland O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Maryland O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Maryland O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Maryland 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Rutgers vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Rutgers vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Maryland 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Maryland 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Maryland Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers vs. Maryland: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers vs. Maryland: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Rutgers 1H O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| O/U 57.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Rutgers O/U 26.5 | 47% |
| Rutgers 2H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Maryland 2H O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Maryland 2H O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Maryland 1H O/U 16.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| Maryland O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 43% |
| Rutgers vs. Maryland: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Spread -7.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Rutgers O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| O/U 59.5 | 41% |
| Spread -8.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Maryland O/U 35.5 | 39% |
| Rutgers vs. Maryland: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 39% |
| O/U 61.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 37% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 37% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 1H Moneyline | 37% |
| Rutgers vs. Maryland | 35% |
| Spread -10.5 | 35% |
| Spread -0.5 | 34% |
| O/U 63.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| O/U 65.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| O/U 67.5 | 27% |
| Rutgers O/U 32.5 | 27% |
| Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| Rutgers O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| Spread -20.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| O/U 69.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| O/U 71.5 | 18% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| O/U 73.5 | 13% |
| O/U 75.5 | 12% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 94% YES probability for Rutgers vs. Maryland. In the upcoming college football game between Rutgers and Maryland, scheduled for October 17 at 12:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rutgers" if Rutgers win the game. This market will resolve to "…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $128K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Rutgers vs. Maryland plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
- Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%2365a30d%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2365a30d%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%2365a30d%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%2365a30d%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Rutgers vs. Maryland on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →