Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 97% |
| O/U 37.5 | 96% |
| O/U 39.5 | 95% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 41.5 | 90% |
| O/U 43.5 | 89% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 86% |
| O/U 45.5 | 85% |
| SMU O/U 23.5 | 85% |
| O/U 47.5 | 79% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 78% |
| SMU O/U 26.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 77% |
| O/U 49.5 | 75% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 73% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 73% |
| Spread -0.5 | 72% |
| Spread -1.5 | 71% |
| O/U 51.5 | 71% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 20.5 | 71% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| Spread -2.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 67% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 66% |
| SMU O/U 29.5 | 66% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 65% |
| SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 63% |
| Spread -3.5 | 62% |
| O/U 53.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 62% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| SMU 1H O/U 12.5 | 59% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 23.5 | 58% |
| Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| O/U 55.5 | 57% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 57% |
| Virginia Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 57% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 55% |
| SMU 2H O/U 12.5 | 55% |
| SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| SMU 1H O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 11.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 52% |
| O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| SMU 1H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| SMU 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 51% |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| SMU O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| SMU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| SMU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| SMU Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| SMU Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| SMU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| SMU Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| SMU Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| SMU Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| SMU O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| SMU 2H O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Virginia Tech 2H O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| 2H Moneyline | 46% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 46% |
| O/U 59.5 | 45% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 26.5 | 45% |
| Spread -8.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| Virginia Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| O/U 61.5 | 39% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| Spread -10.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| O/U 63.5 | 36% |
| SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 29.5 | 35% |
| SMU O/U 35.5 | 35% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Virginia Tech Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 29% |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU | 28% |
| O/U 65.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 28% |
| Spread -0.5 | 27% |
| Spread -14.5 | 27% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 27% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 26% |
| Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| Virginia Tech O/U 32.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| 1H Moneyline | 25% |
| Spread -16.5 | 24% |
| O/U 67.5 | 24% |
| Virginia Tech 1H O/U 15.5 | 24% |
| Spread -2.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| O/U 69.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| O/U 71.5 | 16% |
| Spread -20.5 | 15% |
| Spread -5.5 | 14% |
| Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| O/U 73.5 | 13% |
| O/U 75.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| Spread -16.5 | 3% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to virginia tech vs. smu. In the upcoming college football game between Virginia Tech and SMU, scheduled for November 6 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Virginia Tech" if Virginia Tech win the game. This market will …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $437K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Virginia Tech vs. SMU plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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