Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Henan FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Beijing Guoan FC will face Henan FC in a Chinese Super League fixture on 23 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 7:35 AM ET. The match forms part of the domestic league calendar in China's top-tier football competition, where both clubs compete for points in the regular season standings.
Historical precedent suggests that markets for mid-season Chinese Super League matches typically settle with measurable trading activity once team news and injury reports emerge in the 48 hours before fixture day. The current 0% implied probability indicates either minimal market participation or a technical constraint preventing YES-side trading. Comparable fixtures in the CSL have shown that late-window movement often correlates with confirmed lineups and official team announcements rather than pre-match speculation. Markets covering Chinese domestic football have historically experienced settlement delays when administrative or scheduling changes occur, though such instances remain infrequent.
Traders should monitor official CSL fixture confirmations and any rescheduling announcements from the Chinese Football Association, particularly given the compressed fixture calendar typical of the spring season. Team news releases from Beijing Guoan and Henan FC—typically published 24 to 72 hours before matches—will provide concrete data on squad availability. Weather conditions in Beijing during late May occasionally prompt fixture adjustments, though such changes are typically announced well in advance through the league's official channels. The settlement window closes at 11:35 AM ET on match day, allowing only a narrow window for final market adjustments after pre-match team sheets are confirmed.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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