Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Shanghai Shenhua host Wuhan Three Towns in the Chinese Super League, with the market sitting at 100% for YES on the more-markets contract. That level of pricing implies the crowd expects at least one additional goal, card, corner, or other listed event to land comfortably within the settlement window, rather than a tight 0-0 type outcome. On the recent head-to-head record, Shanghai have had the better of this fixture, winning four of the last eight meetings and scoring 14 goals to Wuhan’s nine, while the last meeting in August 2025 finished 1-0 to Wuhan, a reminder that the rivalry can still produce narrow, low-scoring results.
For context, the lean on YES appears to rest more on the match set-up than on a single decisive catalyst. Shanghai’s named attack includes Rafael Ratão and Tianyi Gao, while Wuhan have Jhonder Cádiz, Gustavo Sauer and Jinxian Wang in a 4-2-3-1, which gives both sides enough forward quality for the usual live-market events to be in play. Recent previews and market pages have pointed to Shanghai as favourites and to over-style outcomes as the dominant read, but with the line already fully maxed out at 100%, traders are effectively waiting for team news, early tempo, and any in-game confirmation rather than fresh pre-match polling or campaign-style movement.
Methodology
This page tracks Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC - More Markets across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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