Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Zhejiang Professional and Shandong Taishan meet in the Chinese Super League, and the market is already pricing the listed “more markets” outcome as a certainty. The underlying fixture is a sensible anchor for that view because the recent record has been tight rather than one-sided: Sofascore’s head-to-head feed shows a 2-2 draw in October 2025, while ESPN lists a string of recent meetings including 2-2 and 3-3 scorelines, alongside one-sided wins for both clubs in earlier seasons. That pattern is more useful than the raw crowd number, because it suggests a matchup with enough volatility to generate plenty of statistical sub-markets even when the result market itself is harder to call.
The main catalyst here is the match timing and the pre-match data flow, not a late-breaking team announcement. ESPN’s fixture page shows both sides close together in the table and has already posted the game odds, while recent previews from SportsGambler and other aggregators have focused on Shandong’s short unbeaten run in the head-to-head and Zhejiang’s home edge. With the settlement window ending at 12:00 UTC, traders will mainly watch for line-up confirmations, any late injury or suspension news, and whether the market’s implied certainty is justified by the breadth of available sub-markets rather than by one specific declaration or poll movement.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - More Markets plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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