Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
66% | 34% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
66% | 34% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 66% YES | 35% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
The upper bracket quarterfinal between Argentine organisation 9z and Sharks in the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs represents a best-of-three Counter-Strike encounter scheduled for 27 May at 1:30PM ET. The market currently reflects a 68% implied probability favouring 9z, suggesting the crowd perceives them as clear favourites in this knockout fixture.
9z have established themselves as consistent performers within South American Counter-Strike, whilst Sharks represent a competitive but less predictable challenger. Historical matchup data between these rosters, alongside their respective placements in preceding Stake Ranked episodes, provides the foundation for assessing relative strength. Teams advancing through upper bracket routes typically demonstrate stronger recent form than lower bracket counterparts, and 9z's positioning here suggests they navigated earlier rounds more convincingly. The 68% probability reflects this structural advantage rather than an overwhelming skill gap, indicating traders view the match as competitive but tilted.
Traders should monitor roster stability announcements and any last-minute lineup changes in the days preceding the match, as substitutions can materially shift competitive balance. The settlement window closes at 23:30 UTC on 27 May, allowing seven days for match completion before the 50-50 tie-break resolution triggers. Fixture delays or technical issues affecting either team's preparation warrant close attention, particularly given the knockout format's elimination consequences. Recent performance metrics from both organisations' matches within the current Stake Ranked season will provide the most relevant predictive signals.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Ep… on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Election Predictions UK →