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Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

How the prediction markets are pricing "Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

71% YES 29% NO Volume: $205K Liquidity: $508K Closes: 13 Jun 2026
Trade on Election Predictions UK →
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Election Predictions UK Pick
polygram.ink
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Election Predictions UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Election Predictions UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Election Predictions UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Election Predictions UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Election Predictions UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.

Active sub-markets

Match Winner71% Natus Vincere30% TheMongolz
O/U 2.5 Games46% Over55% Under
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)41% Natus Vincere60% TheMongolz
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550% Over51% Under
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)41% Natus Vincere60% TheMongolz
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547% Over54% Under

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: natus vincere vs themongolz (bo3) - iem cologne major stage 3 stands at 71% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Natus Vincere and TheMongolz in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 13 at 5:00AM ET. This ma…

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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