Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Sharks and Ninjas in Pyjamas face off in the upper bracket semifinal of the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs, a best-of-three Counter-Strike match scheduled for 28 May at 1:30PM ET. The winner advances directly to the grand final, whilst the loser drops to the lower bracket. Current market pricing reflects genuine uncertainty, with the crowd assigning equal weight to both outcomes at 50%.

Historical matchup data between these rosters provides limited predictive clarity. Sharks have shown inconsistent form across recent tier-one tournaments, whilst NIP has maintained steadier qualification records but lacks dominant performances against top-tier opposition in 2026. Head-to-head records from the past twelve months show split results, with neither team establishing clear superiority. The even probability reflects this parity: neither squad enters as a statistical favourite based on recent LAN placements or online league standings.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations through the tournament's official channels, particularly any last-minute substitutions announced before the 28 May fixture. Map veto announcements, typically released 24 hours prior, will provide tactical insight into team preparation. Recent form in the lower rounds of Episode 2 qualifiers and any injury disclosures from official Stake Ranked communications represent the primary catalysts that could shift market odds. The settlement window's seven-day buffer accounts for potential technical delays inherent to online-administered esports tournaments, though matches in this format typically conclude within scheduled windows.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?

Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.