Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
PARIVISION met PlayTime in a DreamLeague Season 29 group-stage best-of-three, with the match listed for 16 May and score reports showing a 1–2 result in PlayTime’s favour. That makes the market’s crowd-implied 100% YES look inconsistent with the available match record, since the settlement should follow the series outcome rather than pre-match expectations. For context, Dota 2 BO3 markets usually price heavily towards the higher-ranked side when one roster has stronger recent form, but they can turn quickly if map one is dropped or if the series is decided by drafts and lane execution. GosuGamers and BO3.gg both list PlayTime as the winner, while Sofascore records the fixture as having started on 16 May in DreamLeague Group B.
For traders, the key catalyst is whether the platform’s resolution source, Dotabuff, has posted the final series result and whether that matches the live score feeds already reporting a PlayTime win. If there is any delay in official publication, Polymarket’s rules allow credible reporting and video evidence after two hours, so the decisive watchpoint is confirmation rather than further gameplay. The main risk to settlement is not a change in competitive narrative, but an administrative mismatch between the market label and the completed bracket result before the 23:40 UTC window closes.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague G… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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