Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
17% | 83% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
17% | 83% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Sunderland AFC (-1.5) | 17% YES | 83% NO |
| Chelsea FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Sunderland AFC (-2.5) | 3% YES | 98% NO |
| Chelsea FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Sunderland AFC will host Chelsea FC in a Premier League fixture on 24 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 11:00 AM ET. The 17% implied probability for "more markets" suggests traders expect limited additional betting options or supplementary markets to be offered alongside the main match wagering. This reflects typical liquidity patterns for late-season fixtures, where secondary market depth often depends on broader platform activity and fixture prominence.
Historical precedent from comparable late-season Premier League matches indicates that fixture significance—particularly whether either side contests European qualification or relegation—substantially influences ancillary market provision. Chelsea's established status as a top-tier club typically guarantees core match markets; Sunderland's league position at that juncture will determine whether the encounter attracts sufficient trader interest to justify expanded offerings. Previous seasons show that mid-table clashes generate fewer derivative markets than title-deciding or survival-critical fixtures, a pattern the current probability reflects.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official Premier League scheduling confirmations through May, as fixture postponements or rescheduling would alter market structure. Sunderland's form trajectory and any managerial changes in the preceding months will signal expected match competitiveness. Platform announcements regarding market expansion—typically published 7–10 days before fixture week—represent the primary catalyst. Recent Premier League seasons show that fixture scheduling decisions and team circumstances announced in early May substantially shape whether platforms commit resources to supplementary betting options for late-season matches.
Methodology
This page tracks Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC - More Markets across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. PolyGram routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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