Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| FC Utrecht (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SC Heerenveen (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Utrecht (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SC Heerenveen (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
FC Utrecht meet SC Heerenveen in the Eredivisie play-off tie, with the market currently pricing no chance of a separate “more markets” event in the settlement window. On the football side, that 0% YES reflects how narrowly defined the contract is rather than a view on the match itself: outcomes only matter if a qualifying extra-market catalyst appears before kick-off. Utrecht have not lost to Heerenveen in their last five meetings, according to FotMob, which is the sort of recent head-to-head record traders sometimes use as a check on whether a fixture is likely to produce an unexpected market-moving announcement.
The main catalyst to watch is the live build-up and any late team-news or official changes before the 19:00 UTC start, because these contracts are usually sensitive to whether a scheduled event actually occurs rather than to the scoreline. ESPN and FotMob both show the game as set for Stadion Galgenwaard, with predicated line-ups already published; that tends to reduce the scope for last-minute surprises, especially when only injury absences remain in focus. For context, Heerenveen are already missing several players, while Utrecht’s listed absentees are also known, so any market movement would more likely follow an official pre-match update than a fresh injury disclosure.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen - More Markets plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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