Haiti vs. Scotland - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland are scheduled to meet in a FIFA World Cup qualifier on 13 June 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. The market prices the likelihood of additional betting markets being offered for this fixture at 5%, implying strong confidence that no supplementary markets beyond standard win/draw/loss and goal-total offerings will materialise. Settlement occurs at 01:00 UTC on 14 June, immediately after the final whistle.

Historically, FIFA World Cup qualifiers involving lower-ranked nations generate minimal ancillary market demand. Haiti ranks 95th in the current FIFA standings; Scotland sits 37th. Comparable fixtures between teams of similar relative strength—such as recent Caribbean and European qualifier pairings—have rarely triggered the creation of specialist markets on major platforms. The 5% probability reflects the baseline expectation that bookmakers will restrict offerings to conventional match outcomes and aggregate statistics, with no exotic props or regional-specific markets being deployed.

The primary catalyst affecting settlement is whether the match attracts sufficient commercial interest to justify additional market development costs. Fixture scheduling, team injury announcements, and qualifying-round standings as of early June 2026 will influence perceived audience size. Traders should monitor UEFA and CONCACAF communications regarding fixture promotion and any unexpected squad news that might elevate public interest. Current market pricing suggests the consensus view that a Haiti–Scotland qualifier will not warrant the operational investment required to launch supplementary betting products.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Haiti vs. Scotland - More Markets plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?

Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.