Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
10% | 90% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
10% | 90% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia | 11% YES | 89% NO |
| Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia | 16% YES | 85% NO |
| Korea Republic 0 - 3 Czechia | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| Korea Republic 1 - 3 Czechia | 3% YES | 97% NO |
Market context
Korea Republic will face Czechia in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 11 June at 10:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any unmatched scoreline settling as "Any Other Score." The 10% implied probability for this specific outcome suggests traders view an exact-score prediction as inherently difficult given the range of possible results in competitive international football.
Historical precedent indicates exact-score markets in football typically concentrate probability across a narrow band of outcomes. The most common scorelines in World Cup group matches—1–0, 1–1, 2–1, and 2–0—collectively account for roughly 60% of all results. Korea Republic and Czechia represent moderately matched sides; Korea reached the knockout stage in 2022 whilst Czechia failed to advance from their group. This competitive gap slightly favours Korea but does not suggest a dominant performance likely to produce an unusually high-scoring result. Exact-score markets in comparable fixtures between teams of similar calibre have historically seen winning probabilities cluster between 8% and 15% for individual outcomes.
Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly injury updates affecting key attacking or defensive personnel. Qualification records and recent friendly matches will provide form indicators closer to the tournament. The broader group composition—which other teams face Korea and Czechia—influences tactical approach and thus scoring likelihood, though this is already determined. No scheduled announcements or squad declarations remain; the market will primarily respond to late-stage injury developments and any unexpected tactical shifts disclosed by either federation.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $225K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Korea Republic vs. Czechia - Exact Score plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Election Predictions UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Korea Republic vs. Czechia - Exact Score on Election Predictions UK
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