Sweden vs. Tunisia - Exact Score

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Market context

Sweden and Tunisia will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 14 June at 10:00 PM ET. The market prices an 8% probability on an exact final score, meaning traders are wagering on one specific scoreline from the ninety-minute regulation match. This reflects the inherent difficulty in predicting precise outcomes in football; even matches between evenly matched sides rarely settle at anticipated exact scores with regularity.

Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in World Cup group fixtures typically trade at low probabilities unless one team is heavily favoured. Sweden qualified for the 2022 World Cup and reached the quarter-finals of Euro 2020, establishing themselves as a competitive European side. Tunisia, conversely, has not advanced beyond the group stage since 1978 and finished bottom of their group in Qatar 2022. The gap in competitive pedigree and recent tournament performance creates asymmetry that could favour specific scorelines—particularly low-scoring Swedish victories—yet the unpredictability of knockout-stage football means even heavily favoured outcomes rarely materialise at exact scores.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury reports as the tournament approaches, particularly regarding key Swedish attacking players and Tunisia's defensive setup. Recent form in qualifying rounds and any late tactical adjustments disclosed by either manager in pre-match press conferences will inform expectations. The settlement window closes at 02:00 UTC on 15 June, allowing only the immediate post-match period for resolution. No scheduled debates or declarations directly influence this market; outcome depends entirely on match performance.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Sweden vs. Tunisia - Exact Score plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?

Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.