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Utah State vs. Washington

How the prediction markets are pricing "Utah State vs. Washington" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

Washington O/U 0.5 100% Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% 2H Moneyline 100% Volume: $250K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Utah State vs. Washington

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Washington O/U 0.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
4Q Moneyline100%
Utah State O/U 7.5100%
Utah State O/U 10.5100%
Utah State O/U 13.5100%
Utah State 1H O/U 5.5100%
Utah State O/U 1.5100%
Utah State O/U 8.5100%
Utah State O/U 11.5100%
Utah State 1H O/U 4.5100%
Utah State 1H O/U 6.5100%
Utah State 2H O/U 4.5100%
Utah State 2H O/U 6.5100%
Utah State 2H O/U 5.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
Trey Cooley: Anytime Touchdown50%
Demond Williams Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dezmen Roebuck: Anytime Touchdown50%
Rashid Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Javen Jacobs: Anytime Touchdown50%
Eli Wood: Anytime Touchdown50%
Decker DeGraaf: Anytime Touchdown50%
Javon Robinson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Lawson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Anthony Garcia: Anytime Touchdown50%
Demick Starling: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kache Kaio: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jayden Limar: Anytime Touchdown50%
Christian Moss: Anytime Touchdown50%
McCae Hillstead: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sesi Vailahi: Anytime Touchdown50%
Noah White: Anytime Touchdown50%
Utah State vs. Washington0%
Spread -24.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 56.50%
Utah State O/U 0.50%
Utah State O/U 1.50%
Utah State O/U 2.50%
Utah State O/U 3.50%
Washington O/U 1.50%
Washington O/U 2.50%
Washington O/U 3.50%
Spread -26.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -25.50%
O/U 55.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -31.50%
Spread -34.50%
O/U 35.50%
O/U 37.50%
O/U 39.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H Spread -12.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -15.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Moneyline0%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -11.50%
2H Spread -12.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -8.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -8.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -11.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -8.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -8.50%
Washington O/U 35.50%
Washington O/U 38.50%
Washington O/U 41.50%
Washington O/U 44.50%
Washington O/U 47.50%
Utah State O/U 16.50%
Utah State O/U 19.50%
Washington 1H O/U 20.50%
Washington 1H O/U 22.50%
Washington 1H O/U 24.50%
Utah State 1H O/U 7.50%
Utah State 1H O/U 9.50%
Washington O/U 5.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
Washington O/U 34.50%
Washington O/U 37.50%
Washington O/U 40.50%
Washington O/U 43.50%
Washington O/U 46.50%
Utah State O/U 14.50%
Utah State O/U 17.50%
Utah State O/U 20.50%
Washington 1H O/U 21.50%
Washington 1H O/U 23.50%
Washington 1H O/U 25.50%
Utah State 1H O/U 8.50%
Washington 1H O/U 19.50%
Washington 2H O/U 17.50%
Washington 2H O/U 19.50%
Washington 2H O/U 21.50%
Utah State 2H O/U 8.50%
Washington 2H O/U 16.50%
Washington 2H O/U 18.50%
Washington 2H O/U 20.50%
Washington 2H O/U 15.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
Utah State 2H O/U 7.50%
Utah State 2H O/U 9.50%
Spread -11.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -22.50%
Spread -23.50%
Spread -28.50%
Spread -29.50%
Spread -30.50%
Spread -32.50%
Spread -33.50%
Spread -35.50%
Spread -36.50%
Spread -38.50%
Spread -41.50%
Spread -42.50%
Spread -44.50%
Spread -45.50%
Spread -48.50%
1H Spread -19.50%
1H O/U 23.50%
1H O/U 26.50%
1H O/U 29.50%
1H O/U 32.50%
1H O/U 35.50%
2H Spread -15.50%
2H O/U 20.50%
2H O/U 23.50%
2H O/U 26.50%
2H O/U 29.50%
2H O/U 32.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 22.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -18.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of utah state vs. washington. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Utah State and Washington, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Utah State" if Utah State win the gam…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Washington O/U 0.5 at 100% for "Utah State vs. Washington".

Washington O/U 0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $250K.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Utah State vs. Washington plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are political prediction markets?
Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
What resolution source is used for elections?
Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Election Predictions UK route into the same order book at 0% fees.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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