Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Election Predictions UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 92% |
| O/U 37.5 | 85% |
| O/U 39.5 | 82% |
| O/U 41.5 | 82% |
| Spread -1.5 | 76% |
| Spread -2.5 | 75% |
| O/U 43.5 | 72% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 72% |
| O/U 47.5 | 71% |
| O/U 45.5 | 70% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 69% |
| Auburn O/U 27.5 | 69% |
| Spread -3.5 | 67% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 67% |
| Spread -4.5 | 66% |
| O/U 49.5 | 66% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 65% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| Spread -5.5 | 63% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 63% |
| Spread -6.5 | 62% |
| O/U 51.5 | 60% |
| Auburn O/U 30.5 | 59% |
| Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| O/U 53.5 | 56% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 20.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| Spread -8.5 | 54% |
| Spread -9.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt vs. Auburn: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Vanderbilt vs. Auburn: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt vs. Auburn: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt vs. Auburn: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt vs. Auburn: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vanderbilt vs. Auburn: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Auburn O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -11.5 | 45% |
| O/U 57.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Vanderbilt O/U 23.5 | 44% |
| Vanderbilt 1H O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| Spread -12.5 | 43% |
| Spread -13.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Auburn 1H O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| Spread -14.5 | 40% |
| O/U 59.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Spread -15.5 | 36% |
| O/U 61.5 | 35% |
| O/U 63.5 | 35% |
| Spread -16.5 | 34% |
| Spread -17.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 29% |
| Spread -18.5 | 28% |
| O/U 67.5 | 28% |
| O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| 1H Moneyline | 26% |
| Spread -20.5 | 25% |
| Vanderbilt vs. Auburn | 24% |
| Spread -30.5 | 24% |
| Spread -0.5 | 23% |
| O/U 69.5 | 23% |
| 4Q O/U 20.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Spread -23.5 | 19% |
| Spread -24.5 | 17% |
| O/U 71.5 | 16% |
| Spread -3.5 | 14% |
| O/U 73.5 | 14% |
| O/U 75.5 | 14% |
| Spread -4.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Spread -27.5 | 12% |
| Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
Market context
Vanderbilt vs. Auburn. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 24% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-26T20:15:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $177K.
Methodology
This page tracks Vanderbilt vs. Auburn across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Election Predictions UK provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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Trade Vanderbilt vs. Auburn on Election Predictions UK
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