Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alpha Dominion Nation (-9.5) vs Alpha Gaming (+9.5) | 50% Alpha Dominion Nation | 50% Alpha Gaming |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alpha Gaming (-3.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+3.5) | 50% Alpha Gaming | 50% Alpha Dominion Nation |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Alpha Gaming (-6.5) vs Alpha Dominion Nation (+6.5) | 50% Alpha Gaming | 50% Alpha Dominion Nation |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Alpha Dominion Nation (-3.5) vs Alpha Gaming (+3.5) | 50% Alpha Dominion Nation | 50% Alpha Gaming |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: alpha dominion nation vs alpha gaming (bo3) - united21 group c stands at 50% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Alpha Dominion Nation and Alpha Gaming in the United21 Group C, initially scheduled for June 24 at 4:00AM ET. This m…
Methodology
This page tracks Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Alpha Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Alpha Gamin… on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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