Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Election Predictions UK Pick polygram.ink |
40% | 60% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
40% | 60% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Election Predictions UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Election Predictions UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 40% BetBoom Team | 61% FURIA |
| Map 2 Winner | 47% BetBoom Team | 54% FURIA |
| Match Winner | 39% BetBoom Team | 62% FURIA |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 47% Over | 54% Under |
| Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | 35% FURIA | 66% BetBoom Team |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 51% Under |
Market context
Market consensus: 40% chance of counter-strike: betboom team vs furia (bo3) - iem cologne major stage 3. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between BetBoom Team and FURIA in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 13 at 12:30PM ET. This market …
Methodology
This page tracks Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Election Predictions UK routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Election Predictions UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Election Predictions UK?
- Zero. Election Predictions UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Election Predictions UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Co… on Election Predictions UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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